Monday, May 17, 2010

May 17, 2010 Free Edition of the Monday Morning Review

THIS WEEK'S STOCK MARKET TREND SIGNALS
 

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(The signals shown below are the "regular" MACD signals, NOT the Advanced MACD signals, which are available separately for only $4.95 a month.  See our website for details).
 
Shown below are the current "Weekly" signals for the Dow Jones Industrials, S&P 500, and NASDAQ using the "regular" MACD (as is available for free on many investment websites).  These can change quickly, but can also go weeks or months between changes, so be sure to check each week's email.  The Longer-Term "Monthly" signals (rarely change) are shown below.  Then, at the bottom we provide our big trends for interest rates.
 
Dow Jones Signal      
S&P 500 Signal         
 
NASDAQ Signal       



LONGER-TERM (L-T) STOCK MARKET TREND SIGNALS
(The signals shown below are the "regular" MACD signals, NOT the Advanced MACD signals, which are available separately for only $4.95 a month).
These longer-term signals are based on 'monthly' intervals for the "regular" MACD, meaning that signals can only change at the beginning of the month.  As such, these signals can go for months or years between changes - BUT when they do change it pays to take heed, since it signals a potentially VERY IMPORTANT change in trend or direction for the market as a whole.  Subscribers that don't change their investments very often will usually follow these signals since they don't change very often.
 
L-T Dow Jones Signal  

L-T S&P 500 Signal      
L-T NASDAQ Signal     

INTEREST RATE OUTLOOK
 
These interest rate outlooks are based on the price and yield trends for U.S. Treasury bonds of various maturities.  This kind of information is helpful for those investing in certificates of deposit, applying for a loan, and other reasons where the interest rate outlook is critical.  The recent stock market volatility has driven investors towards U.S. Treasury bonds, taking rates down a bit.  However, as faith in U.S. debt falls, investors could decide that all debt, including Treasury bonds, is flawed or even worthless, and gold could be the 'currency' of last resort.  This means that Treasuries would have to have higher interest rates to reflect the increasing risk of owning the.  The arrows below show the LARGE trends for these rates, based on the monthly interval MACD, which means that daily or even weekly moves won't show up immediately.
 
Short-term (3-6 Months)   Medium-term (2yrs-5yrs) Long-term (10yrs-30yrs)  
 
 
 
COMMENTARY:
 
THERE IS STILL A "DOWN" TREND SIGNAL FOR EACH OF THE WEEKLY INTERVAL MAJOR STOCK MARKET AVERAGES!
 
This week's newsletter will be shorter than usual, but the bottom-line is not much has changed from last week, and this turmoil will likely continue (up and down).  As we've said before, when the MACD trends change, it's best not to question why or argue with what they say.  Sometimes they are 'late to the party' meaning they only change the trend after the markets turn down (or up), but this isn't day trading and capturing the largest part of the move is most important for our subscribers.  Stay tuned each week, so you can get the latest on what these regular MACD's are indicating.
 
Each week is critical now, especially since we've entered into the seasonally 'down' time for the markets, i.e. "sell in May and go away".  Meanwhile, precious metals are soaring in price, and you may want to check out our other newsletter for more on that.
 
This market is upsetting enough and we don't see an end to that anytime soon.  As investors though, we have to decide whether its worth the risk to keep our money in a market where it can drop 1,000 points, and yet remain a "mystery" to everyone on Wall Street and in the government. 
 
 
Be careful out there, and all the best for your health and investment portfolio. 
 
 
J.E. Rapp,
Editor-in-Charge
 
 
 
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