Monday, May 24, 2010

May 24, 2010 Free Edition of the Monday Morning Review



THIS WEEK'S STOCK MARKET TREND SIGNALS
 

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(The signals shown below are the "regular" MACD signals, NOT the Advanced MACD signals, which are available separately for only $4.95 a month.  See our website for details).
 
Shown below are the current "Weekly" signals for the Dow Jones Industrials, S&P 500, and NASDAQ using the "regular" MACD (as is available for free on many investment websites).  These can change quickly, but can also go weeks or months between changes, so be sure to check each week's email.  The Longer-Term "Monthly" signals (rarely change) are shown below.  Then, at the bottom we provide our big trends for interest rates.
 
Dow Jones Signal      
S&P 500 Signal         
 
NASDAQ Signal       



LONGER-TERM (L-T) STOCK MARKET TREND SIGNALS
(The signals shown below are the "regular" MACD signals, NOT the Advanced MACD signals, which are available separately for only $4.95 a month).
These longer-term signals are based on 'monthly' intervals for the "regular" MACD, meaning that signals can only change at the beginning of the month.  As such, these signals can go for months or years between changes - BUT when they do change it pays to take heed, since it signals a potentially VERY IMPORTANT change in trend or direction for the market as a whole.  Subscribers that don't change their investments very often will usually follow these signals since they don't change very often.
 
L-T Dow Jones Signal  

L-T S&P 500 Signal      
L-T NASDAQ Signal     

INTEREST RATE OUTLOOK
 
These interest rate outlooks are based on the price and yield trends for U.S. Treasury bonds of various maturities.  This kind of information is helpful for those investing in certificates of deposit, applying for a loan, and other reasons where the interest rate outlook is critical.  The recent stock market volatility has driven investors towards U.S. Treasury bonds, taking rates down a bit.  However, as faith in U.S. debt falls, investors could decide that all debt, including Treasury bonds, is flawed or even worthless, and gold could be the 'currency' of last resort.  This means that Treasuries would have to have higher interest rates to reflect the increasing risk of owning the.  The arrows below show the LARGE trends for these rates, based on the monthly interval MACD, which means that daily or even weekly moves won't show up immediately.
 
Short-term (3-6 Months)   Medium-term (2yrs-5yrs) Long-term (10yrs-30yrs)  
 
 
 
COMMENTARY:
 
THE "DOWN" TREND SIGNALS REMAIN!  
 
SPECIAL EDITION:
We know everyone's wondering what's happening with the stock markets. There's a lot going on behind the scenes and we have some rather dramatic conclusions and assessments for the subscribers of the Advanced MACD Newsletter.  We don't want to use this free newsletter as an advertising vehicle, and most times we try not to talk about the other newsletter, but lately we've seen what's going on and believe everyone should take advantage of this very inexpensive tool we've designed, just for you.  In addition, and as the economy has hit the turbulent times we predicted, our business has been affected.  Some subscribers have said they need to cancel, not because they were unhappy with the product, but they've either lost their jobs, are on reduced hours, or expenses were overwhelming them and even $5 a month was too much when they needed the money for groceries and bills.  We understand.  We've been cutting expenses as well, and it's unfortunate when someone has to cut expenses like our newsletter, when we've been able to keep everyone ahead of the curve, and out of the way of the "freight train" (just like the last few weeks!).  So, if you are having a financial hardship, simply write to us and let us know, and we'll see what we can do for you.  We've been working with those mentioned above as well, to see what we could do for them.  However, to stay in business, we ask everyone to consider subscribing, so please read our "Subscription Drive" message below.  
 
SIGNAL AND MARKET ANALYSIS
This week, the bottom line is TRUST THE MACD'S.  You may or may not have heard the old Wall Street saying, "read the tape".  Well, watching the MACD's is effectively "reading the tape", and the message is loud and clear: the trend is down.  There's more to the story, which we cover in our Advanced MACD newsletter, and you may want to find out where all this could be headed.  Give our other newsletter a try free for a month, and of course, if you find it isn't for you just let us know and we'll cancel it for you!  We are trying to make this as easy and simple as possible.  Bottom-line, whatever the market does, until the regular MACD's turn around, the presumption is that the near-term trend is "down".  The longer-term MACD's still reflect on "up" trend, but even they are weakening, and won't give you as much of a chance to get to safety if the markets get really ugly.  Still, for very long-term investors, they simply follow the longer-term MACD's and only change their investment decisions when these longer-term trends change.  You have to discuss this with your investment adviser, or make a decision based on your goals, objectives and risk tolerances.   
 
 
SUBSCRIPTION DRIVE
On May 3, 2010, we 'highly' suggested you get a FREE copy of our Advanced MACD newsletter, since there were some specific warnings we thought you should know about.  Later, May 6, 2010, the Dow crashed nearly 1,000 points in what's now called the "flash crash".  Did you take advantage of our FREE offer?  Fortunately we had a good number that did; to their benefit!  They received our warnings as we went into some of the details of what's happening, why, and what could be next.  We want everyone to have the free newsletter, since even knowing what the regular MACD says can help you immensely in your investing (as these past few weeks have once again demonstrated).  Sure, the subscribers to the Advanced MACD had advanced warning, but they are paying $4.95 a month for that privilege. 
 
One reason we're addressing this is we had a free newsletter subscriber indicate that they wish they had some idea this was coming before the regular MACD actually turned.  Well, that's what the Advanced MACD is for.  We'd love to give all our analysis out for free (to meet our mission's goals) but we have to pay the bills which are large, and still make enough to live on.  This is our only job, and it's your support that keeps us in business.  At $4.95 (around the price of a Vente Latte at Starbucks) you can skip the Wall Street Journal, New York Post, Investors Business Daily, Barrons, Newsweek, Time, Financial Times, and on and on.  QUESTION:  Did any of those other sources let you know that a crash/correction was coming?  We didn't think so. 
 
We gather information from sources you won't find (or rarely, and only if you're really looking for them) in those other print and media.  Business TV?  Are you kidding?  Folks, my staff and I are trained to sift through lots of information, find the essence of what's going on, make an assessment and write it up - quickly.  I learned this as a bank examiner, and now I'm working for you - if you'll let me.  My price?  A whopping $4.95 a month.  That's a real bargain based on the other newsletters and analysis I've seen out there.  Some sources put out more information, but once again, we summarize it for you, and even let you know when we think it's time to be ready for a crash, correction, or rally.  If you can find a better deal, that sums it up, gives you market direction signals, warns you of potential crashes, once a week, for less than $5 a month, we would se riously like to know about it.  For example, this week, the bottom line is TRUST THE MACD'S.  You may or may not have heard the old Wall Street saying, "read the tape".  Well, watching the MACD's are effectively "reading the tape", and the message is loud and clear: the trend is down.  There's more to the story though (like potential rallies to watch out for), which we cover in our Advanced MACD newsletter, and you may want to find out where all this could be headed.  Give our other newsletter a try free for a month, and of course, if you find it isn't for you just let us know and we'll cancel it for you!  We are trying to make this as easy and simple as possible.
 
Finally, if we could so bold as to ask everyone to pass along this newsletter to someone you know that may be interested, and ask them to consider subscribing as well?  Thank you.

 
Be careful out there, and all the best for your health and investment portfolio. 
 
 
J.E. Rapp,
Editor-in-Charge
 
 
 
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